Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005806 0.006143 0.006492 0.006883 0.007307 0.007757 0.008269
2026-01-11 0.005202 0.005686 0.006212 0.006829 0.007539 0.008334 0.009297
2026-01-18 0.004845 0.005410 0.006045 0.006816 0.007737 0.008811 0.010175
2026-01-25 0.004548 0.005163 0.005871 0.006754 0.007841 0.009153 0.010884
2026-02-01 0.004414 0.005088 0.005880 0.006895 0.008180 0.009783 0.011984
2026-02-08 0.004219 0.004922 0.005764 0.006864 0.008292 0.010124 0.012722
2026-02-15 0.004062 0.004791 0.005677 0.006859 0.008426 0.010490 0.013512
2026-02-22 0.003881 0.004618 0.005528 0.006758 0.008423 0.010663 0.014036
2026-03-01 0.003723 0.004466 0.005394 0.006669 0.008423 0.010834 0.014561
2026-03-08 0.003615 0.004371 0.005329 0.006663 0.008532 0.011159 0.015335
2026-03-15 0.003434 0.004175 0.005122 0.006454 0.008343 0.011039 0.015410
2026-03-22 0.003356 0.004112 0.005086 0.006476 0.008481 0.011403 0.016271
2026-03-29 0.003302 0.004077 0.005088 0.006553 0.008704 0.011911 0.017421
2026-04-05 0.003206 0.003982 0.005005 0.006503 0.008737 0.012129 0.018104
2026-04-12 0.003128 0.003910 0.004950 0.006490 0.008823 0.012432 0.018960
2026-04-19 0.003041 0.003821 0.004867 0.006433 0.008834 0.012614 0.019615
2026-04-26 0.003021 0.003823 0.004912 0.006564 0.009144 0.013302 0.021268
2026-05-03 0.002952 0.003754 0.004852 0.006535 0.009199 0.013567 0.022146
2026-05-10 0.002893 0.003699 0.004810 0.006530 0.009289 0.013896 0.023182
2026-05-17 0.002811 0.003607 0.004712 0.006437 0.009230 0.013957 0.023681
2026-05-24 0.002736 0.003524 0.004624 0.006353 0.009182 0.014035 0.024220
2026-05-31 0.002687 0.003477 0.004587 0.006348 0.009264 0.014351 0.025299
2026-06-07 0.002586 0.003353 0.004432 0.006152 0.009015 0.014043 0.024981